CA
2017 Points
Joined July 2008
ok
then starting with the probability ratio....., the formula is .,
let 1 be the spot share price and if increases then it becomes 2(1+1)
if decreases then the price becomes .5(1-.5)then
let p be the probability of increase then (1-p) be probability of decrease
therefor under risk neutral ....
p*2 +(1-P)*.5=1.1 here 1.1= the fair return for the six month 20% p.a =10% for 6 month.....(this was done differently in the RTP)
then we get p=.4 which is the probability to increase and .6 to decrease.....
know coming to the calculation part....
the value of the option is 165 , then the intrinsic value at 880=880-165=715, and correspondingly if it is 220=220-165=55 , then the value of option if increases after 6months =.4*715+.6*55/1.1=290
correspondingly if decreses=.4*55+.6*0/1.1 = 20
know the present value of the option know after six months =.4*290+.6*20/1.1 = 116.36
therefore the value of the option is 116.36
if u still have any doubt ...where is it....