CA FINAL
23 Points
Joined March 2012
Hi suraj...
wel gold prices shapes on basis of sentiments of Investors in US and on how dollar is shaping...at present large investors are of opinion tht US economy is out of rough weather and is improving hence ppl thr are expecting dollar to improve & get strong...so thy are investing in dollar by pulling out of gold....
Now coming to gold which is quoted per troy ounce which is roughly 31g...and to calculate gold price in India we need to multiply gold’s international rate with dollar rate in India and divide it by 3 for 10g gold...
Ex:
Gold price in Dollars/troy ounce = 1400 (present rate)
Dollar Rupee Rate = 54 (today, present rate)
Gold price in India/ 10 grams =1400*54/3 = Rs 25,200
and today gold was around Rs 24700...instead of 25,200..wht it should be as per derivation above but yes...its high possibility that gold in international market would fall to level of $1100 per ounce...in tht scenario gold in India per 10g would vary in between 19000 - 20000 provided dollar remain at current level of Rs 54 for $1 if rupee gets stronger, pulling dollar down thn expect more fall prices of gold.
My Opinion: stay away from purchase of gold and keep track of international rate of gold and purchase when it reaches around $1100 per ounce
Disclaimer: i hve no investment in gold and thse r my personal opinion....
Thanks
Sahil Jain